{"id":138,"date":"2026-04-09T18:14:20","date_gmt":"2026-04-09T23:14:20","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/hassannassar.com\/?p=138"},"modified":"2026-04-09T20:42:38","modified_gmt":"2026-04-10T01:42:38","slug":"el-analisis-la-guerra-en-iran-y-el-cese-al-fuego","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/hassannassar.com\/?p=138","title":{"rendered":"El An\u00e1lisis: La guerra en Ir\u00e1n y el cese al fuego."},"content":{"rendered":"\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-video is-provider-spotify wp-block-embed-spotify wp-embed-aspect-16-9 wp-has-aspect-ratio\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<iframe title=\"Spotify Embed: El An\u00e1lisis: La guerra en Ir\u00e1n y el cese al fuego. \" style=\"border-radius: 12px\" width=\"624\" height=\"351\" frameborder=\"0\" allowfullscreen allow=\"autoplay; clipboard-write; encrypted-media; fullscreen; picture-in-picture\" loading=\"lazy\" src=\"https:\/\/open.spotify.com\/embed\/episode\/5vfGbaBkfnuhy5poqLnbUr\/video?si=ZuEsCVdwSSGSSJJGlxpskQ&amp;utm_source=oembed\"><\/iframe>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>El mundo atraviesa uno de los momentos m\u00e1s delicados de los \u00faltimos a\u00f1os.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>La guerra en Ir\u00e1n ya no es un conflicto aislado. Es un punto de tensi\u00f3n donde convergen intereses militares, econ\u00f3micos y religiosos que est\u00e1n redefiniendo el equilibrio global.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Estados Unidos, bajo el liderazgo de Donald Trump, vuelve al centro del tablero. Israel intensifica su ofensiva. L\u00edbano se convierte en un frente activo. Y la OTAN observa \u2014y se prepara\u2014 ante un escenario que puede escalar m\u00e1s all\u00e1 de la regi\u00f3n.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>En el coraz\u00f3n del conflicto est\u00e1 el estrecho de Ormuz, una de las rutas energ\u00e9ticas m\u00e1s importantes del mundo. Y tambi\u00e9n, un elemento clave en la presi\u00f3n que Ir\u00e1n ejerce sobre la econom\u00eda global.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Mientras tanto, surgen intentos de mediaci\u00f3n, como el de Pakist\u00e1n, que buscan contener la escalada. Pero la pregunta es inevitable: \u00bfhay realmente espacio para la negociaci\u00f3n?<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Porque aqu\u00ed no solo se enfrentan intereses geopol\u00edticos. Tambi\u00e9n hay un componente ideol\u00f3gico y religioso que endurece las posiciones y reduce los m\u00e1rgenes de acuerdo.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>En este episodio analizamos los riesgos de un alto al fuego que muchos consideran fr\u00e1gil \u2014o incluso inviable\u2014 y las consecuencias de una negociaci\u00f3n que podr\u00eda redefinir el orden internacional.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Para entender este escenario, hablamos con dos voces clave: el profesor e historiador de la Universidad Nacional, Carlos Pati\u00f1o, y el profesor de la Universidad del Rosario y director de la comunidad jud\u00eda de Colombia, Marcos Peckel.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Porque lo que est\u00e1 en juego no es solo una guerra.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Es el futuro del equilibrio global.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Episodio completo en Spotify. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/open.spotify.com\/episode\/5vfGbaBkfnuhy5poqLnbUr?si=wbbZ7k2ySr-6O714eT_Kyg\">https:\/\/open.spotify.com\/episode\/5vfGbaBkfnuhy5poqLnbUr?si=wbbZ7k2ySr-6O714eT_Kyg<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>El mundo atraviesa uno de los momentos m\u00e1s delicados de los \u00faltimos a\u00f1os. La guerra en Ir\u00e1n ya no es un conflicto aislado. Es un punto de tensi\u00f3n donde convergen intereses militares, econ\u00f3micos y religiosos que est\u00e1n redefiniendo el equilibrio global. Estados Unidos, bajo el liderazgo de Donald Trump, vuelve al centro del tablero. Israel [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[85],"tags":[84,20,23,14,22,83,24,25],"class_list":["post-138","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-podcast","tag-carlos-patno","tag-donald-trump","tag-guerra","tag-hassan-nassar","tag-iran","tag-marcos-peckel","tag-medio-oriente","tag-petroleo"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.3 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>El An\u00e1lisis: La guerra en Ir\u00e1n y el cese al fuego. - hassannassar.com<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/hassannassar.com\/?p=138\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"El An\u00e1lisis: La guerra en Ir\u00e1n y el cese al fuego. - hassannassar.com\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"El mundo atraviesa uno de los momentos m\u00e1s delicados de los \u00faltimos a\u00f1os. 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